Attitude is Everything

Well, to say the story-lines heading into this week 1 matchup are plentiful would be a drastic understatement.  There’s the “main” one that the media wants to follow and that’s the Brothers Bennett and how goofy Martellus is and the agenda that Michael has…neither I care to touch as I focus and care about the on-field stuff, but not to mention it would be irresponsible.

There’s also the return of Eddie Lacy, the talented running back that ate himself out of Green Bay.  There were reports he got as heavy as 275-280lbs, which is comical.  I’ve always been an advocate for cutting ties with a player that has issues staying in shape.  That’s always been a minimal requirement for a professional athlete’s job, is to be in prime shape to perform.  Otherwise that opens Pandora’s Box by keeping a player like that.

Lastly, the 3rd major story line, or at least the one that’s most applicable to me, is both of these teams’ seasons ended at the hands of the Atlanta Falcons in January.  I believe, including Atlanta, these are the top 3 teams in the NFC (Atlanta, Green Bay, and Seattle) which is what makes these first two games for the Packers so important.  If Green Bay can somehow come out 2-0 they’d have a stranglehold on home-field advantage for the entire season.  Not trying to get ahead of myself, because obviously GB can’t go 2-0 without going 1-0 – and there’s something about having home-field that bodes well to get to and ultimately win the Super Bowl (keep in mind, I have no interest in going to the Super Bowl and not winning…that’d be the ultimate worst-case scenario for a majority of reasons).

Both Seattle and Green Bay are different teams from the last time they faced one another (week 14, Packers W 38-10)…many of you reading know the changes that have occurred for the Packers, but Seattle hasn’t had too many differences – the major ones were signing Eddie Lacy (he still won’t be the feature back and if he is that’s good news for Cheesehead nation) and the trade with the Jets just last week that brought troubled, but extremely talented, Sheldon Richardson to Seattle in return for a marginal Wide Receiver (Kearse) and a 2nd round draft pick.

Taking a look at Seattle- they feature the same QB, essentially the same WRs (sans Kearse), and essentially the same Defense (+ Richardson).  The Packers’ OL didn’t have too much trouble keeping Rodgers clean versus that daunting defense, however Seattle added a premier player while Green Bay lost one of the best Guards in the NFL, TJ Lang, to Detroit.  I believe the offense will be fine, maybe not in a position to pull Rodgers with 10+ min left in the 4th in a 28-3 game, but I think hanging 30+ at home in ideal conditions should be the expectation.  Couple that with the fact that Russell Wilson has accounted for 10 INTs since the 2014 NFC title game (50.7 rating in those three games) – the interesting part is the Packers’ defense has only improved and gotten much faster since those 3 meetings.

Sea +: Their entire defense (4th overall in 2016) returns essentially everyone, plus adding Sheldon Richardson only improves their strength.
Sea –: Their offensive line. A team that prided itself and that was built around the rushing attack, finished 25th in rushing and gave up 42 sacks (6th most) last season.

GB +: Their entire offense.  Although losing TJ Lang is a major loss, Ted Thompson bought some insurance by signing veteran Guard Jahri Evans and he should provide a solid veteran presence across that line, keeping them ranked towards the top OL in all the NFL.
GB –: Defensive experience playing together…does that make sense?  The loss of Micah Hyde shouldn’t prove too costly as he’s been replaced with Josh Jones (2nd pick by the Packers in the draft), a player I absolutely believe can be an instant difference-maker.  The new #27 for Green Bay has the potential (dangerous word, I know) to be an Earl Thomas-type playmaker on this Packers’ Defense.  *Question, did I just turn my Packers’ negative into a positive?*

Overall, the Packers are a better team, and have shown to be the bully (which is quite refreshing) in this series the last two games.  If you can, head to NFL.com to watch 1 play – the game was in hand 31-10 with Brett Hundley in the game – with 5:50 left in the game, immediately following Wilson’s 5th INT of the game, the Packers rand an end around to Jeff Janis to the left side of the offense.  Richard Sherman was lined up on Davante Adams, Sherman slipped on his drop back and Adams took that opportunity to absolutely destroy him on a block that allowed Wayne Larrivee to deliver his “dagger call.”  Yes Sherman slipped, but the attitude behind Adams to attack as a blocker is a note he took out of Jordy Nelson’s book of hustle and if this team plays with that tenacity and attitude, I believe there’s too much talent on this roster to fail in succeeding the goal of winning a Super Bowl…however January is a different time and execution has been lacking since Feb 2011 in that department.

Seahawks 17
Packers 31

22-15: It’s still tough for me to admit I allowed myself to be convinced the Packers were going to roll Atlanta.  But hey, when I’m wrong I’m wrong – however I don’t think that’ll be the case come Sunday!  Have fun!  Go Pack Go!!!

Another Epic Fail? The answers are below :)

Finally football season is upon us!  Don’t worry, I selected my predictions prior to tonight’s kickoff (for those that care).  Looking back to last season, I projected the Packers to go 12-4, host the NFC title and lose to Seattle at Lambeau with the Seahawks to avenge their Super Bowl loss the previous season to the Patriots.  I was…kinda close, right?

This season I’ll kinda go the same route, picking chalk means you’re likely not to be too far off.  Let’s take a look at how this season may go.

NFC AFC
1Green Bay 12 4 North 1Pittsburgh 13 3
5Minnesota 9 7 5Baltimore 11 5
Detroit 7 9 Cincinnati 8 8
Chicago 5 11 Cleveland 2 14
4Atlanta 10 6 South 4Houston 7 9
Carolina 8 8 Tennessee 7 9
New Orleans 7 9 Indianapolis 6 10
Tampa Bay 6 10 Jacksonville 4 12
2New York 12 4 East 2New England 13 3
Washington 8 8 Buffalo 6 10
Dallas 8 8 Miami 5 11
Philadelphia 7 9 New York 4 12
3Seattle 12 4 West 3Kansas City 11 5
6Los Angeles 9 7 6Oakland 10 6
Arizona 8 8 Los Angeles 8 8
San Francisco 3 13 Denver 8 8

Keep in mind, I actually take the time (the wife is NOT happy about this either) to fill out the schedule grid, meaning as I pick a win for one team the opponent I mark a loss…so this is a legit game-by-game record for all 32 teams.

Here’s how the playoffs will play out???  (Man I need to write more, to expand my vocabulary)

Wild Card: LA Rams @ Seattle; Minnesota @ Atlanta; Oakland @ Kansas City; Baltimore @ Houston
Divisional: Sea @ New York; Atl @ GB; Kansas City @ New England; Balt @ Pittsburgh
Championship: New York @ Green Bay  /  New England @ Pittsburgh
Super Bowl LII: Green Bay 24 v New England 27

Some may say that I “root against the Packers so I can be right.”  I can assure you that’s not the case.  Others may say that I don’t pick Green Bay to win so I can “hang my hat on being right if my team doesn’t succeed.”  Maybe, but I’m more worried about offering my opinion and sharing my knowledge to make others think in a different way, or at least I hope that’s the case.  Either way, there are plenty of scenarios and narratives I could create and write up suggesting why the Packers could (and should) beat the Patriots, but as for now – 159 days prior to the Super Bowl – Tom Brady and the Patriots seem to just win.  Until someone proves otherwise (besides Eli Manning who is below average until the postseason rolls around) I’ll have to figure New England is King…but man how sweet would it be to have Rodgers v Brady on the biggest stage??????  Let’s hope the fix is in as Goodell would absolutely relish that idea.

Re/Pre-View

What typically is considered the Dress Rehearsal for the regular season, the 3rd preseason game should offer the longest look at the starters prior to week 1 (Sept 10th v Seattle).  In the first two preseason games, the Packers have shown their depth as their 3rd and 4th stringers have been playing well versus Philly’s and Washington’s 1st and 2nd string units.  In Landover, all of the quarterbacks seemed sharp – especially Rodgers and Hundley, the ones you’d expect.  Taysom Hill was able to move the ball down the field and ultimately get the game-winning TD, but he’s quite raw and needs a ton of more snaps before he’s ready.

Keeping with the QB theme, this should be a good test for Hundley as Denver boasted the 4th overall defense last season.  Should Hundley play well, as he has this entire preseason, look for him to cement himself as a legitimate NFL backup QB with the potential for the Packers to trade next offseason (keep in mind Thompson traded UP to select Hundley in the 5th round of the 2015 draft), meaning there could be tremendous return if flipped for a 3rd or possibly 2nd round draft pick.

Other players, positions to watch is the highly competitive Wide Receiver…position…  With the play and production of Jeff Janis so far this preseason, hopefully he’ll get a shot v Den’s 1st unit to see how effective he truly can be.  Talent and ability has never been an issue with Janis, however understanding the playbook and (one of my favorite phrases) knowing how to get open, has.  If Hundley continues to show he’s healthy and productive that may lend a roster spot to the WR corps – the Packers may only keep 2 QBs on the roster, unlike last year where they kept 3.  Even with keeping 3 QBs last year Green Bay held on to 7 WRs, which is where I think it’s trending currently.  It’s a deep position and if there’s no trade value worthy of actually pulling the trigger to make a trade, look for this to be the most-competitive position for the remaining 8 days (roster cuts need to be made by Sept 2).  My prediction for the group (as of Aug 25) is:

  • Jordy Nelson
  • Davante Adams
  • Randall Cobb (I’d cut or trade him, likely won’t happen)
  • Geronimo Allison
  • Trevor Davis
  • Jeff Janis
  • Max McCaffrey

The rookie wideouts (Dupre and Yancey) also seem to possess quite a bit of talent, hence why I’d be OK with moving on from Cobb ($12.6M this year).

Other groups to watch may be the punter Justin Vogel and Brett Goode (long-snapper).  Goode has been with the team for quite some time, but was just recently brought back to the team last week…it’s not a vital position until it is.

The defense, especially the D-line, needs to continue to show progress and speed.  Keep in mind neither team is scheming against one another, but fundamentals don’t scheme those are always in play.  Dean Lowry sure gave us a scare last week and he’s showing to be a true difference-maker for this defense.  Hopefully he can turn into an Aaron Kampman-type which would give this defense a much-needed boost.  If the Packers can produce a top half defense (ranked 16th overall or better), what would be the reason for failure if another Lombardi trophy eludes the Packer trophy room?

Finally, Football is Back!

The tease of football has reached us, finally!  For those addicted to football, or just eager for something besides a market correction to our Brewers, what we saw this past Thursday at Lambeau Field was both encouraging and depressing.  Let’s start with the depressing part, shall we?

Without major change, once again at any of the 3 key factors (General Manager, Head Coach, and Quarterback) it’d be insane to expect a different result than the last 6 years.  Now that that’s done with, on to the encouraging portion!

Overall team speed was addressed in the draft and it showed on the field v Philadelphia.  The first pick, Kevin King, flashed a few times coming up to make an instant stop after a short completion.  Something that may go unnoticed, but makes a monstrous difference over the course of a season.  That could be the difference between a 3rd down stop and a drive that continues and possibly breaks for a long gain (see Julio Jones in the NFC title game).  With the good was some bad; King was burned on a deep pass down the right side against the 2nd string.  I’m not sure if it was blown coverage by the safety, or if King was just beat, but either way that was happening in years passed without the tackling, so that’s a plus!

My favorite (yes, way too early to tell) player in the draft, Josh Jones, didn’t really make too much of an impact.  He overran a couple of tackles, but at least got there – which also has been lacking.  If he can mature and get the fundamentals down he could be a really nice player, for a long time.

The standout player for me, yes all on defense, was Dean Lowry.  Lowry generated a constant push which sets the tone for the play, by getting pressure up the middle – regardless of run/pass – it disrupts the entire play and increases the difficulty of execution for the offense.  As any quarterback will tell you, the worst type of pressure is that of which comes from the middle (between the tackles).  #94 wasn’t running free to completely beating his man, but he was pushing him in the backfield and if there’s a smidge of additional pressure from anyone else, it will help this team immensely.

Nice to see: Trevor Davis get an opportunity and make the most of it on punt return.  Much-welcomed speed at a position which requires speed and agility.  The speedster in his 2nd year from Cal showed solid vision and wasted little movement taking a punt return 68 yards for a TD on his first try.  Hopefully he’s secured his spot as a punt returner and I’d love to see him on kick returns full time too.

For next week- keep an eye out for the 1st team offense to actually hit a rhythm- it’ll be important for Brett Hundley to showcase his talents, not only for the Packers’ cause, but for his own as well.

Missed the Deadline?

Considering it’s been over 2 months since my last entry- I figured this to be a good time to catch up!  The Brewers continue to win me over as there were no major moves made in the trade deadline…at least no major moves to improve today.  I believe the system has shown to be working, and a superior of mine once said “Don’t deviate from a great long-term plan because you’re seeing short-term success.”  I don’t believe truer words could be spoken, especially when it comes to rebuilding.

The Brewers (as of 7/31) find themselves at 55-52, 2.5 games out of first in the NL Central.  The Cubs came in and took the series this past weekend and are showing why they’re the top dog in this division.  I understand why fans are frustrated about this team dropping in the standings, but if Milwaukee is this good now just think how good they’ll be when Stearns and Co. actually planned on the “window” opening.  For the remainder of this baseball season, of course root for the Brewers to win the division (as always) however, by no means should anyone be upset by season’s end.  The upcoming core of young talent has shown such promise and is a major reason the Brew Crew seems to be ahead of schedule.

Take a look down south in Houston, where David Stearns cut his teeth, they’re one of the top teams in baseball, are stocked with young talent, and possess a top 5 farm system….STILL!!!  This is the path the Milwaukee Brewers are on, and while experiencing early success the Crew (unlike Houston) did not make a major deal to shoot for the playoffs like the Astros did in 2015 by giving up 4 prospects (Domingo Santana and Brett Phillips being two of them) for Carlos Gomez and Mike Fiers.  That 2015 Houston team, very much like this 2017 Milwaukee club had no real shot at winning anything major – instead the Brewers held on to all of their young talent that projects to help come 2019 and beyond.

Many fans and local radio personalities tell me to “just enjoy the ride,” well without a doubt I can say “I have so far.”

Recapping the Draft

After digesting the draft and other off-season moves for a month, let’s take a look at the state of the Packers.

As of Sunday, May 28th the Packers have finished their first week of OTAs (Organized Team Activities), the first true look at the rookies.  The Packers were able to move back, acquire one of the 6 prospects I highlighted in last month’s draft preview (CB Kevin King) and still gain the first pick of the 4th round – to which they selected Vince Biegel, from Wisconsin.

Green Bay went defense with their first four selections: King CB; Jones S; Adams DT; Biegel OLB.  King, Jones, and Biegel all have a chance to get considerable playing time in the coming season, with King likely getting the starting job pushing highly talented, oft-injured Damarious Randall to the nickel spot (covering the slot receiver when in passing situations).  This is a monstrous year for Randall and Rollins, but more on that in the coming weeks.

King has been well-documented since being drafted, but the prospect I’m “high” on and interested in watching is Josh Jones, the Safety from North Carolina St.  The “expert’s” in-depth scouting report of Jones is that he’s a fierce hitter that’s possesses the size and speed to be a long time starter in the NFL.  The Packers haven’t featured a player, especially on defense, with his skill set and if he’s able to control his aggression he could be an impact player this defense has been lacking since Charles Woodson donned #21 (before he became old and slow).  Comparing Jones to Jabrill Peppers (the highest hyped safety) is very intriguing:

Test Jones Peppers
40 yard 4.41 4.46
Bench Press 20 19
Vertical Jump 37.5″ 35.5″
Broad Jump 132″ 128″

The last note on Jones: a story from OTAs this week brought a smile to my face.  The Packers, practicing in a helmet and sweats, saw Jones come down hard on WR Jeff Janis and light him up and rock him as if they were going 100% with pads!  I’m sure the coaches scolded Jones for potentially injuring Janis, and himself, being that no one is protected – but I love hearing about a defender bringing the pain as the Packers have lacked a player of that mentality (coupled with potential) for quite some time.  To say I’m excited would be fair, and only time will tell if Jones turns out to be better than Jabrill Peppers, let alone good…

The departure of RG TJ Lang to Detroit left a gaping hole on the offensive line, which GM Ted Thompson “addressed” slightly by signing veteran Guard Jahri Evans.  While with the Saints, Evans was revered as one of the top guards in the NFL for an extended period of time…and although his skills have dropped considerably, he still knows how to play the position and he can’t be worse than backup, Don Barclay.  By signing Evans the Packers weren’t in a position to having to spend a high pick on an offensive lineman, allowing them to focus on defense in a defensive-deep draft.

The other picks by the Packers addressed need with appropriate value of each prospect.  Montravious Adams, DT from Auburn, was valued as a 2nd-3rd round pick and shows superior athleticism for a big man, however the concern he didn’t try until his last year at college begging the question Is he going to get drafted and revert to laziness and not produce?  Either way he should have an opportunity to get into a regular rotation on the defensive line with Kenny Clark, Mike Daniels, Dean Lowry, and newly acquired Ricky Jean Francois.

Next, most everyone knows, Vince Biegel.  What he lacks in talent and skills he more than makes up for in character.  The older I get, the more I care about building a team of good guys that can play.  The scouting report states the same – Effort-based worker bee with edge-setting hands and attitude, but a lack of power that could lead to inconsistency in play.  Biegel’s football character is off-the-charts and he can be counted on to put the effort into improving in areas that need work.  He lacks individual rush talent but could be a good fit for teams utilizing exotic rush packages.  Average NFL ceiling but has the demeanor and traits of a potential special teams demon. – Lance Zierlein

 

The other picks consisted of 2 Wide Receivers, 3 Running Backs, and an Offensive Lineman (a tackle that will likely be developed into a Guard).  The WRs have talent and likely one of the two will turn into a solid player and produce (Yancey tore up a very good Badger defense when they matched up last fall) and Dupre was regarded has a potential 2nd round talent, but without any quarterback at LSU couldn’t showcase his talent/production.

The HBs were taken out of pure numbers…meaning if you take 3 it’s likely one will turn out to be solid, if not two.  Many talk about Jamaal Williams from BYU.  Seems like a good kid, but isn’t necessarily fast and didn’t play vs. top talent at the college level.  He’ll have an ideal situation for a mid-late round pick of sitting behind a smart player (Ty Montgomery) and learning the position while being given the benefit of doubt.  In addition to Williams, the Packers selected Aaron Jones from UTEP.  Jones isn’t necessarily fast (4.56 40-yard), but did test extremely well in the 20-yard (2nd) and 60-yard shuttles (3rd).  Being a local kid (along with his twin brother) to El Paso, TX, Jones stayed local allowing him to play, improve, and ultimately improve to a point to get drafted.  Like Williams, Jones will be given the benefit of the doubt to play and produce.  The last HB taken by Green Bay, Devante Mays (Utah St.) is unheard of but woke up many scouts with is testing: 4.5 second 40-yard; 40.5” vertical.  Standing at 5’11” and 230lbs possessing that athleticism, he too will be given plenty of opportunities to show what he can do.

In closing, following the draft the Packers addressed each need and brought in potential playmakers on defense while adding depth to offense…will it be enough to change the Packers from being a perennial disappointment into accomplishing something?  Time will tell, but many other players will have to step up and play to their expected level (ahem Clay Matthews, Damarious Randall, Quinten Rollins, the entire offense in January) in order for me to expect otherwise.

The Packers will take…

Ahh yes, the NFL Draft is finally here!  A time for all Thompson haters to come out to complain about not picking the sexy prospect, or not drafting for obvious need, and so on and so on.  I’ll clarify again, not sure if it’s needed, I’m a huge fan of Ted Thompson’s philosophy, system, whatever you’d like to call it.  Building through the draft, paying your own guys and rarely paying big money for free agents is how one keeps your team from really ever getting in trouble.  This eliminates many factors that contribute to teams being unable to compete for various reasons.  I’m happy to elaborate, but in the interest of time, and getting to the point let’s move on.

The need for the Packers is on defense, or so it seems.  The last time Green Bay took the field they were outplayed in all 3 phases of the game.  The D couldn’t get a stop, the Offense couldn’t score a point, and one of the most reliable kickers in the NFL missed a 40 yard field goal in a dome.  While many believe the offense will be “tough to stop,” there’s always a need for improvement on each side of the ball.  Hence why drafting the best player available is rarely the wrong decision, that player will eventually help, and help greatly.  If you’re still reading, let’s get on with players the Packers could take (in the 1st round), and why.

TJ Watt – OLB Wisconsin: Of course this seems like a homer pick, however he seems to be the best edge rusher that’ll be available by the time GB picks.  He’s played one season, produced at a high level and likely will only improve.  It’s also impossible to look past the genetics, which have fared well so far at the next level.

Kevin King – CB Washington: mostly unheard of due to playing in the PAC 12/west coast.  However, he’s a big corner (6’3” 200lbs) that can run (4.43 40-yard dash).  The scouts say he’s not as physical as his body shows he should be, however he was a solid defender on a solid defense, which was ranked in the top 4 all season.

Chidobe Awuzie – CB Colorado: like King, Colorado plays in the PAC 12 and they weren’t expected to be nearly as good as they were this year.  However, according to the scouts and pundits (which may mean nothing) he’s a 4-year starter at a big time program, is big (6’0” and 202lbs), fast (4.43), and should be selected in the late 20’s.

Forrest Lamp – G Western Kentucky: this pick would send nearly every Packer fan into a frenzy, he may be the best player available if still on the board.  He’s 6’4” 309lbs, fairly strong (34 reps at 225lbs) and was a Tackle in college.  Thompson doesn’t draft college guards, but tackles in college and some convert to guard.  Reason being is tackles are more athletic than guards, while guards are usually more of a mauler.  If you find a good athlete at tackle that’s strong, that could trend well in the NFL.  I still have high hopes for Jason Spriggs (the Packers moved up in the 2nd round last year to select him), as he’s an incredible athlete that needs to add weight and see the field.  The signing of Jahri Evans yesterday may take Lamp off the board for Green Bay, but I still wouldn’t be shocked if the Packers selected him as he’s very highly thought of by all scouts, teams.

Jabrill Peppers – S Michigan: a pick that would have Packer fans pinching themselves because they can’t believe Ted chose a cool player.  Peppers was productive and dangerous in college, but I’m not sure where he’d play in the NFL.  With the proper coaching he could be a Safety, or act as a linebacker in Nickel and Dime packages (defenses set up to defend the pass).  I wouldn’t hate this pick, but I’d be really interested to see how he’s used and produces.

Christian McCaffery – HB/WR Stanford: after a decorated career at Stanford, he could be a difference-maker as a rookie.  It helps he comes with football genes (his father played WR with the Broncos in the 90’s) and he knows how to play football and what to do with it once in his hands, and more importantly what to do when he isn’t holding it.  Somehow, without working out or playing football McCaffery has shot up draft boards, but if he’s selected by Green Bay he wouldn’t be fitting a need as he’s a similar player to his former teammate, Ty Montgomery, but absolutely fits the bill and phrase of having as many good players isn’t a bad thing.

What will Ted do?  That’s really what everyone is trying to figure out.  My choice?  I’d love for him to find a trade partner and trade back accruing as many 2nd – 4th round picks as possible as it seems this draft is loaded with talent and having the most picks gives one the best shot at obtaining as much talent for the long haul.  Keep in mind the draft isn’t about the year at hand, but the next 3-10 years.  Fans are sick of not “going all in,” but the failure of the last 7 seasons by the Packers is a direct result of not being successful drafting years prior and on-field execution, or lack thereof.

My guess?  Probably King from Washington, Awuzie from Colorado, or Watt from Wisconsin.  Regardless of whom the Packers take, there’s something about the NFL Draft that is exciting and great for true football fans!  Have fun!

Boys of Summer are Back!

Year 2 of the David Stearns era begins!  Or at least the baseball season is!  Few have begged as hard for a rebuild of the Milwaukee Brewers as I have since 2013 and now that we’re in full swing (pun intended) it’s so refreshing!  Unlike my feelings toward the Packers (apathetic), my feelings towards the Brewers and expectations are in line!  With a major rebuild I’ll give 4-5 years before I expect the Window to Open.

Many publications rank the Brewers’ Farm System in the top 3.  That’s exciting and should be the goal of every small-market MLB team.  The Brewers should always be in the top 10, even if trading pieces to gain MLB-talent to “make a run.”  This means drafting well, extremely well as well as ditching old expiring talent for kids to supplement their farm.  The 2017 season will be viewed as important to the rebuild by seeing what some of the young talent can do in the minors and majors (Santana, Arcia, Villar, and more), but also to see how many additional pieces the Brewers trade to acquire young talent to continue their loading of the minor leagues.  Will Braun be traded?  Hopefully to add more kids to the system and continue the strength for years 2019-2025.  That should be the target for the Milwaukee Brewers to compete for the postseason and eventually a World Series.

Last season the Brewers had a pleasant surprise by Jonathan Villar and should continue to expect other young players to “shock” some fans.  This is expected as when acquiring young talent and keeping with the system.  Milwaukee won 73 games last season which is about where many thought they’d fall.  This season the win total isn’t the goal like I implied earlier, but to determine the young talent – who can assist and be a part of this franchise when the Window Opens.  Since I’m a sucker for predictions let’s go!

The National League was dominated by the Chicago Cubs all last season and I don’t expect much to change in 2017.  The San Francisco Giants, Los Angeles Dodgers, New York Mets, and Washington Nationals should also compete and have strong teams, but the Cubs were built (similar to the Brewers now) the right way and have the best GM in baseball with deep pockets.  They’re strong and are set to be the class of the MLB for quite some time.

The AL last year had a balance of power, ultimately resulting with the Cleveland Indians representing the American League and holding a 3 games to 1 lead over the Cubs in the World Series.  Cleveland should have another strong team this year, but expect Kansas City to respond to last year’s disappointing season with another good showing.  Boston had a good team last year and with a rededicated Panda, he could add a great bat to a lineup that’s already the envy of the AL.

These are pure guesses, but was close last year saying Cleveland was going to be good and everyone knew the Cubs were poised.  Sadly, as a Brewer fan, the Cubs seem like the well-deserved obvious favorite to win it all again.  Hopefully the Brewers will see the fruits of their labor in a few years as the Cubs are now.

Brewers Record: 77-85
NL Champion: Chicago Cubs
AL Champion: Boston Red Sox
WS Champion: Chicago Cubs

Hello, again.

Apathy: the absence or suppression of passion, emotion, or excitement.  A lack of interest in or concern for things that others find moving or exciting.

My intent isn’t to depress, however it’s tough to be such a die-hard fan and not be apathetic towards the Packers…or any sports team in this state.  I’m now passed the point of associating blame and just want major change – think Definition of Insanity.

In the last 8 months, the Packers find themselves in a position to replacing 2 All-Pro Guards (Josh Sitton and T.J. Lang).  If you’ve followed along with my previous writing, or have known me for a while, you understand I’m a firm believer of great line play is the key to each side of the ball.  The better the OL the better the offense; the better the DL the better the defense.  The Packers possessed the 5th ranked offensive line and the 9th defensive front 7 in the NFL for the 2016 regular season (source: Pro Football Focus).  The Packers ranked 8th in total offense and 22nd in defense.  That shoots a hole in my theory, however the old adage holds true, if you can run the ball and stop the run it bodes well for your playoff fate.

The Packers used their 1st round pick in 2016 on Kenny Clark, a defensive lineman with solid upside.  He was the youngest player in the draft last year and if he turns out to be a Pro Bowl caliber player, that will help this Packers’ defense, immensely over the next 10 years.  He was graded with a 68.0 by PFF this season and it looks to only rise from there.  I state this with the intent that the Packers have the option to go any route they want in this year’s draft.  However, while many think the secondary was a major issue last year, continuing with a great OL is what will drive the offense’s “success” and improving the defensive front will improve the overall defense and directly help the secondary.  The Falcons tore up the Packers’ defense, but the major difference in that game was Atlanta being able to generate pressure with 4 and the Packers getting none, regardless of how many were brought.  (Stop me if you’ve heard that before).

Stay tuned for the NFL Draft preview…I’ll wait for all the mock drafts and experts to predict whom will go where, and why.  Meanwhile the teams will continue to change until that week.  My stance is still to draft the best player available or trade back to accrue more picks.  I still believe that’s the best system in any sport to build the best team, the key is to not suck at drafting – which much has been left to desire in recent drafts for the Green Bay Packers.

Thanks for reading and expect more consistency from me now that the weather is turning and there will be more action from here on out!

Your favorite apathetic Packer fan.

Bad Doesn’t Begin to Describe

Opening Statement– there’s no pretty way to slice it, the Packers were outcoached, out-prepared, outplayed, outmanned, outgunned, etc. in every aspect of the NFC Championship game.  I decided to attend the game while making a trip to visit family that lived nearby Atlanta, and somehow it looked more competitive on TV than in-person.

 Review – I’m not going to blame this on any one player, coach, side of the ball, this was the epitome of a Team Loss.  However, it wasn’t surprising to see Atlanta march down the field on the opening drive for a TD, it was disappointing to see the offense come up empty on the Packers’ opening possession.  Who knows if an opening game TD changes the outcome of the game, keeping the pressure on Atlanta.  Either way, it didn’t matter and the Falcons pounded the Packers by letting league-MVP, Matt Ryan, sit in the pocket with virtually zero pressure pick apart the inferior secondary.  I’ve been saying for a while now, as have others, how Clay Matthews is not only underperforming, but actually just down right bad.  For a player making $17-20M per year, your expected to generate consistent pass rush and make game-changing plays (see Von Miller, JJ Watt, etc.).  I believe there may be value for keeping #52, but at a much-reduced contract.  The defense has always been an issue in the playoffs, however unlike years passed (2015 playoff loss @ Arizona or 2014 playoff loss @ Seattle) the defense never game the offense an opportunity to take the lead since the coin toss.

It’s not worth looking at the ProFootballFocus ratings because only 1 player achieved a rating of 80+ (Mike Daniels).  That’s just how bad it was, and as stated above, there’s no 1 person to blame…just an overall organization failure.  Packer fans need to realize this is far too common for a proud franchise and fan base to keep experiencing.

Season in Review – to begin the season the Packers were in the top 3 (per Vegas) to hoist the Lombardi trophy at season’s end and came up short yet again.  This is the 6th consecutive year of failure in “Titletown.”  It’s to the point where it’s embarrassing to call it that and to say this organization is “close to the Patriots” or “2nd to only New England in success.”  The Packers’ consecutive playoff appearances remind me of the 1990’s Atlanta Braves.  Just a ton of talent that always dominated their division/regular season until the postseason rolled around and always choked.

Since QB is the focal point of football and its importance, credit (or blame) is just or not, I’m of the belief that perception is reality and for as much credit as QBs receive, they deserve as much blame for failure.  Knowing that the Packers have had Hall of Fame QB play since 1992, the Packers are one of 6 organizations to win the Super Bowl.  Again, this is not to associate blame towards Favre or Rodgers for not winning more, ‘nor to point fingers at Ron Wolf or Ted Thompson for not getting more talent to win, but to point out that the Packers really aren’t as successful as many of their fans believe.  Let’s take a look at the other teams that have had as much, if not more, success than Green Bay since ’92.

Patriots – 4
Cowboys – 3
Broncos – 3
Giants – 2
Steelers – 2
Ravens – 2
Packers – 2

So the Packers are 1 of 7 teams to have won two or more Super Bowls since 1992 (Favre’s arrival), otherwise known as having a “realistic shot” at winning.  That’s roughly about the top 20% of the league.  Hardly “highly successful.”  Especially since the expectations should to be the BEST.  This fan base, likely like many others (but that’s their issue, I’m here to bring attention to Packer nation) justifies failure like I’ve never seen.

You can’t expect to win every year.
Cleveland would sure kill to ‘fail’ like us.
The Patriots are an anomaly.

The excuses go on and on.  Why can’t we expect the Packers to win every year?  Why can’t we expect them to win the most of anyone else?  In business, life, it’s hard to succeed however that shouldn’t mean that you justify failure.  If you don’t perform at your job, or if you fail to meet your goals, you’ll likely be placed on review and ultimately fired/let go.  If your goal is to Not Get Fired, or Do Just Enough then this won’t resonate with you and we’ll likely not come to agree on much.

So on this Super Bowl Sunday, many will root against Tom Brady and the Pats and they’ll give the reason for doing so because they can’t stand them winning or that they cheat, etc.  I believe that those people just can’t handle that Tom Brady is the best ever (and it’s not close) along with Belicheck and what they’re doing can’t be “expected” and it’s just luck, blah blah blah.  I hope they win and am rooting for them because it’s amazing what an organization can do when the players all buy into the system and the system is consistently improving by any means necessary, while mostly building through the draft and developing those players – while bringing in outside help to augment areas of need in order to win.  The Falcons have a fast and fun team to watch, but on the flip side of the coin, there’s something about watching a consistent choker in the postseason have a ring….this may start up controversy and arguments (that is if anyone is still reading), but many may say I’m talking about Matt Ryan.

Am I?