Maybe Rodgers Saved the franchise, in the long-term?

The disaster of a season finally came to an end, well at least figuratively.  The Packers still have 2 remaining games to play out.  Hopefully used to get the young players some much-needed snaps.  There are the young players we already know that can contribute: Blake Martinez; Kenny Clark; Jamaal Williams; Aaron Jones.  The unfortunate thing is 1st pick Kevin King is missing out on reps that could really help him improve for next year and moving forward.

Review—the return of Aaron Rodgers mattered moot.  He showed a couple of plays of why he’s the most-talented QB, but regardless of excuse is also the reason they lost the game.  Those 3 interceptions were absolutely killer and even though the defense held them to 3 points off those interceptions, but the main one was the underthrow to Cobb up the seam that – with a good throw – would’ve been a touchdown.  Either way, the Panthers exposed the Packers with decent mismatches of Christian McCaffery and Greg Olsen.  The Panthers’ DL really didn’t give too many issues to the Packers, however the main point of frustration for many was the lack of rushing attempts in the game by Green Bay.  19 total attempts, but 6 by the quarterback leaving 13 rush attempts by the Packers’ Williams and Jones.  Jones showed extreme production in his limited carries (3 carries for 47 yards) and Williams was doing an OK job of wearing down the Panthers’ D (10 carries for 30 yards), but McCarthy either didn’t call enough runs or Rodgers checked out of a bunch (essentially every quick pass outside was a RPO – run/pass option).

The Packers’ playoff hoped went down the toilet when Matt Bryant’s kick split the uprights on Monday night as time expired in Tampa Bay.  Now, the Packers find themselves in a position they haven’t been in since 2008, when they finished 6-10 (Aaron Rodgers’ first year starting) and missed the playoffs.  They can use this as a progression/growth period for the youth of this team and have some key development reps.

Preview—the Vikings hold the 2 seed and are pretty locked in for that.  They’ll be looking to win this game from a rivalry standpoint, mainly because I think they care about that since it’s been one-sided.  While holding the overall record of match-up is fun and not losing at home is key, it’s likely a good thing if the Packers lose – better draft pick status, change could result (someone gets fired, maybe?), and there will be additional hunger if the Green Bay finishes 7-9 v 9-7.  Either way, during the game I’ll be rooting for the Packers to win, but if they don’t it may actually be a good thing.

Players to watch—every rookie & Brett Hundley.  Josh Jones could be used, learn, and get quite a bit better in these final two games in preparation for 2018.

Vikings 27
Packers 17

30-20: again, I’m kind of hoping I’m right in the prediction of losses these final two games, but we’ll see.

#12 isn’t the only one to keep an eye on today!

Wrong again!  Well Brett Hundley may not be good, but he’s certainly clutch.  Even though it’s against bad teams he kept the Packers in the playoff race.  With the return of Aaron Rodgers, the Packers find themselves needing to win their remaining 3 games (5 total including Tampa Bay and Cleveland) to go 10-6 to just give them a chance to make the postseason.  Let’s recap and move on!

Review—the coaching staff was out-schemed coming out of the half, but made up for that by outplaying/planning Cleveland in the 4th quarter and overtime.  Mike Daniels continued to his consistent play, but with the return of fellow interior lineman Kenny Clark, the defensive line should’ve produced better v Cle’s rush game.  The Packers surrendered 136 yards on the ground, giving up 5 yards/rush, which is horrible.  The Packers secondary, highlighted by Josh Jones’ OT interception, played improved in the 4th quarter and OT after making DeShone Kizer look like Tom Brady in the 1st half.  All in all, it was a team win that needed extra time to beat the worst team in the NFL.  Moving on…

Preview—ahh the fun part of crunching #s.  This might get a little geeky or allow a peak into my true interest of looking at, what many may think is, worthless stats.  So here we go…

GB Car
Off y/p 25th/17th 18th/14th
Def y/p 26th/19th 5th/10th
T/O (rank) 7 (4)

As you can see, the Panthers have a better offense and a top 10 defense.  I’ve also looked into their 4 losses on the season.  Carolina has lost to the Saints twice, Eagles, and the Bears…yep, Chicago.  The common theme for these losses is Carolina gained 300 total yards of offense once in those losses (305 v Phi in week 6).  Since all of my arguments with my close group of texting friends comes to points (as for defensive ranks), that’s what I’ll use.

  • Week 3 v New Orleans (11th ranked D): 288 yards and -3 t/o differential
  • Week 6 v Philadelphia (5th ranked D): 305 yards and -2 t/o differential
  • Week 7 @ Chicago (14th ranked D): 293 yards, -3 t/o differential
  • Week 13 @ New Orleans (11th D): 279 yards, 0 t/o differential

As you can see, aside from their last loss 2 weeks ago in New Orleans, the Panthers turned the ball over 2+ times more than their opponent.  A pretty good indicator for the Packers in order to win today.  The Packers (as you can see on the chart above) hold the 19th ranked defense, giving up 23.2 points/game.  Meanwhile the Panthers are ranked 14th in offensive points, scoring an average of 23.1 points/game.  If the Packers can win the turnover margin by 2 and hold Carolina to 23 points or less, one would have to think that should be enough to give an Aaron Rodgers-led offense (with a newfound rushing attack) to score 24+.

Let’s look at this way, the Packers were scoring an average of 27.4 points/game with Rodgers as quarterback v defenses that averaged 12.2 in ranking.  With just basic numbers the Packers with Rodgers should score 26+ v Carolina who possesses the 10th ranked defense.  Adversely, the Panthers are putting up 23.1 points/game v an averaged ranked D of 14.9 (opponents played so far).  The basic numbers show that the Panthers likely will score a tad more than their avg.  So apparently the Packers should win 26 to 24…then again, if it were that easy, wouldn’t everyone look at it this way?

As for ProFootballFocus ratings, I looked at all the starters for each team and their respective rankings on the season.  Carolina brings 8 players with an 80 rating or better on the season compared to the Packers who have 10.  The major difference?  The Panthers have two players ranking in the 90’s: DT Kaiwan Short (90.2); Luke Kuechly (94.6).  Both are premier players in the NFL and is the reason I believe the Packers need to establish the run game and KEEP WITH IT!  Even with Rodgers back, he could be devastating with a great ground game and the play-action pass, almost impossible to stop.

Matchup Nightmare? – my cousin brought up a good point earlier this week…”Who will cover McCaffery?”  He brings up a good point, for those that don’t know, Christian McCaffery is the very talented rookie HB from Stanford, son of Ed McCaffery (one of Elway’s favorite targets from the 90’s Broncos) and little brother of Packers wide receiver, Max.  Christian McCaffery (82.1 pff rating) has amassed 838 total yards and 6 TDs this season, while not being the premier back (splits time with Jonathan Stewart).  #22 could pose major problems for the Packers’ defense…just think when McCarthy would bring Cobb, Adams, and Monty out of the backfield.  It poses such a matchup problem because their usually more athletic and faster than a linebacker and bigger/stronger than a defensive back, however I think the Packers have the perfect weapon to shadow him: Josh Jones (my man!).  Jones is bigger, faster, and stronger than McCaffery…but McCaffery is a bright young player that knows how to use leverage and produce.  I’ll be keeping my eye on him and how Capers defends him, as well as the Packers’ DL (Clark and Daniels) v Carolina’s OL.

In a weird year for the NFL, the Packers may actually have a shot, but they need to win this game (just like all the rest).

Packers 27
Panthers 23

30-19: Hopefully I get on the correct-predicting trend here!

Might as well root for the playoffs…

The Packers find themselves in a tough situation, still.  With the win last week they’re caught in the position of Win today and Rodgers likely comes back for the final 3 games, however since they don’t control their own destiny, 10-6 may not be good enough to make the playoffs.  While it’s crazy to think the Packers can win a super bowl without changing anything major- then again this is an odd year in the NFL, once which I believe the Packers can win with Aaron Rodgers and an average defense.

So let’s root for the Packers to make the playoffs, considering even a loss to Cleveland won’t result in Ted Thompson or Mike McCarthy losing their jobs…here we go.

Playoff Picture—the Packers enter 6-6 looking up at Detroit (6-6) and Atlanta (8-5) which Green Bay has both lost to, so they need to finish with a better record than each.  The Packers have another crack at Detroit in week 17 to best them, however the Falcons need to finish 9-7 or 8-8 in order for the Packers to finish ahead of them.  The more likely scenario for the Packers to reach the playoffs are to have Carolina (8-4) lose two more games, with one of them being next week v Green Bay (to hold the head-to-head tiebreaker) and Seattle (8-4) to lose two more games (with Green Bay already holding the head-to-head tiebreaker).  Meaning Packer fans should be rooting for the Vikings v Panthers and the Jaguars v Seahawks today.

Preview/Match-up
Green Bay O v Cleveland D
-25th offense (20th in points, 21.5 pts/game) going up against Cleveland’s 10th ranked defense (26th in points, surrendering 25.7 points/game).
Green Bay D v Cleveland O
-24th defense (17th in points, 23.4/game) v 24th offense (32nd in points, 14.7 points/game).

Yet another match-up of two bad teams.  Cleveland also has talent, however their execution is atrocious.  They have the 10th best defense, but surrender a bunch of points in the red zone, similar to their offense, they can move the ball and turn it over (-19, worst in the NFL in t/o differential) eventually.  The Packers’ defense will be tested by the return of Wide Receiver, Josh Gordon.  He’s an incredible talent that loves smoking weed.  He’s a big play producer, consistently, regardless of his quarterback.  If the Packers win this game, they’ll have to keep Cleveland under 20 points and that means keeping Josh Gordon in check.  In his return v Casey Hayward and the Chargers, who’s rated as the best cornerback in the NFL by PFF, and Gordon had 4 catches for 85 yards (21.3 yards/reception).  The other issue is the Packers will be forced to play Demetri Goodson, who was essentially out of the NFL this year and is now going to receive a ton of playing time v a bad QB (Deshone Kizer) but an awesome WR in Gordon.

Hopefully my trend of being wrong continues….

Packers 20
Browns 23

30-18—I was wrong last week!

Tampa Bad?

Just like that the Packers not only no longer control their own destiny and now need a ton of help to even think about the playoffs.  There are two schools of thought now:

  1. The Packers need to win these next 2 games (v Tampa Bay, @ Cleveland) and return Aaron Rodgers to attempt to win out the regular season and finish 10-6.
  2. The Packers lose out (5-11) and that’s enough to get some major change in the front office at 1265 Lombardi Ave, meaning Ted Thompson and or Mike McCarthy and other coaching and front office personnel are fired.

Regardless, something needs to drastically change in order for this team to become a legitimate contender again.  If you’re of the school of thought that the Packers should win out in hopes the right teams lose enough to allow them a playoff spot and see what happens, at least the NFL seems “down” this season so that almost any team has a shot.

Review—Green Bay actually made that a competitive game which begs the question Truly how good are the Steelers? v Are the Packers actually making strides?  Pittsburgh may have been looking ahead to New England in a few weeks, but to blow multiple coverages allowing huge plays for TDs against a team where you want to make them drive down the field is uncalled for.  Credit the Packers for taking advantage of turnovers and hitting those big plays—even so Green Bay couldn’t pull off the much-needed upset.  This game showed the talent disparity between the two ball clubs.  I’ve claimed the Packers have talent, however the top-end talent of Green Bay doesn’t compare to the top-end talent of Pittsburgh.  The Steelers have arguably the best running back and wide receiver in the NFL along with a very talented DL in Heyward and speedy MLB in Shazier that all came to play last Sunday night and make enough plays to win.

Preview—there used to be a time (1990’s) when Tampa Bay coming to Green Bay in December was an automatic win (and likely would be with Rodgers at QB), the Buccaneers bring the 14th offense (23rd in points/game: 20.3) and the last-ranked defense (32nd in yards, 21st in points allowed: 23.8/game).  This game, if you’re not a die-hard fan of either team, will be tough to watch.  These are two bad football teams as of today, but the Packers believe they have something to play for and until they’re mathematically eliminated, I guess they do.

Gerald McCoy (#93) is one of the top defensive lineman in the NFL, and will pose as a problem for this banged up Packers offensive line.  For Green Bay to win this game and put Brett Hundley in favorable 3rd down situations, they’ll need to establish and keep with the run.  The other issue is Tampa’s solid WR Mike Evans (#13), the 6’5” Texas A&M standout is a productive wideout that could wreak havoc in the Packers banged up and soft secondary.  He’s a down-field threat which the Packers struggle with, especially if they’re unable to generate a pass rush.  If the Pack can get to Jameis Winston and force a turnover (Winston hasn’t thrown an INT in a Tampa win) that might be the key to winning the game today.  Either way, the Packers struggles on the offensive line and a banged up secondary may be too much to overcome against a bad Tampa team…

Buccaneers 24
Packers 21

30-17: sadly my loss predictions are correct.

Thanksgiving Special, the Packers are not

Review—It goes without saying, that was one of the most pathetic offensive performances the Packers have “shown” in the last decade, plus.  Yes Baltimore possesses a solid defense, but at home in ideal conditions in a must-win game versus a bad team, the Packers needed to find a way to pull out a win.  That’s damn near impossible turning the ball over 5 times, even against a Joe Flacco-led offense.  The sad AFC now shows the Ravens as holding the 6th spot in the playoffs, meanwhile in the NFC the Packers dropped to the 9th (keep in mind only 6 make it from each conference).

If you’re looking for positives in the last game, I guess the Packers’ defense held a bad offense out of the end zone for most of the game and the first TD they gave up was on good coverage (that’s what it’s come to with this team).  Also, Adams was covered much of the day by Jimmy Smith (who had an impressive INT on Hundley on the first possession of the game) had a solid showing against Smith, totaling 126 yards on 10 targets (8 receptions).  Other than Adams, Kenny Clark was injured, thankfully it doesn’t seem serious, but no one really stood out.  Overall a complete team loss, which has been happening far too often – that falls on the shoulders of the head coach.

Situation—moving on to Pittsburgh, arguably a top 3 team in all the NFL.  Pittsburgh sits currently as the 1 seed in the AFC and has a ton to play for as they need to keep pace with New England if they want any shot at besting them in the playoffs as they play them in 4 weeks.  The Packers are in a very curious situation…  There are a few different directions this franchise could head.  I’ll lay out the options and you feel free to decide which one may be best.

  1. The Packers could continue to shoot for making the playoffs this year and hope for a Rodgers return ala 2013 to boost them into the playoffs—ultimately losing in January, again.
  2. Green Bay could lose out or most of their remaining games in hopes for a coaching or front-office change of sorts to instill new life/blood into this organization and possibly resetting the career of Aaron Rodgers for his remaining years (4-8 depending what you believe).
  3. Last situation, what I believe is most-likely, the Packers finish the season somewhere between 7 and 9 wins, miss the playoffs and there’s no major change this offseasons due to the excuse that Rodgers was hurt, and Packer fans will again have false hope heading into next year of winning a Super Bowl.

Preview—again the Steelers have quite a bit to play for and they’re also a very good team, with talent all over the roster.  The same could be said for the Packers, but it’s showing that without Rodgers, McCarthy can’t game plan an offense or prep a team to win games, so like Super Bowls until he’s able to show he’s capable of messing up an opponents’ game plan and win a game why should I believe he can?

The Packers enter Thanksgiving Day with the 23rd overall offense (20th in points), the 18th defense (both yards and points), and rank 13th in turnover differential (+2).  Meanwhile Pittsburgh brings the 11th overall offense (14th points), 4th overall defense (2nd points), and one spot ahead of GB in turnovers, 12th (+3).

The game-changers (at least according to ProFootballFocus, which you’ll hear a bit about on the broadcast Sunday night) are Antonio Brown (1st overall WR), David DeCastro (1st overall Guard), Ryan Shazier (6th LB), Cameron Hayward (10th DL), and Stephon Tuitt (13th DL).  Look for each of those players to command the opposing player the Packers run out there.  The only potential advantage Green Bay could have in this game could be the DL v Pit’s OL, but even though that’s been the case in every game since Rodgers went down, it’s resulted in a 1-4 record.  Look for much of the same, especially being this is likely the best competition Green Bay will see all season.  The homer, fan in me is going to take over on score prediction, but the outcome of the game will not differ.

Packers 20
Steelers 31

29-17: the hits will keep rolling L

 

Another good matchup?

What a refreshing game from all sides of the ball, well except special teams – again.  Hopefully getting Brett Goode (long snapper, and Aaron Rodgers’ closest friend) back will fix those kicking issues.

The Defense looked better, however much of that should be credited to Mitchell Trubisky and his willingness to hold the ball longer than his opponent, Hundley, allowing Nick Perry to get 3 sacks on his own.  This seemed like a matchup between two teams with a gameplan of “Not to Lose,” however I’ll credit McCarthy and Hundley for getting aggressive on 3rd and 10 from their own 35 and hitting a 42-yard pass down the right sideline to Davante Adams, which with a good snap, would’ve iced the game by making a field goal.  However, the defense was able to close out the woeful Bears offense and get the Win.

Speaking of woeful offenses, Baltimore brings in the 30th ranked offense and a QB who’s making close to $25M this year and ProFootballFocus season grade of 70.1 (32nd ranked QB) and a season passer rating of 72.7 (31st overall) – these numbers being similar are coincidental, however both are bad.

The Ravens do have the 6th overall defense and as the Packers players have been saying all week, their week 11 opponent is a heavy scheme opponent, meaning Baltimore like to disguise blitzes and coverages especially against inexperienced QBs to force them into mistakes and make game-changing plays.  The Ravens possess the 2nd best defense v the pass, headed by outstanding cornerback, Jimmy Smith.  Smith was a highly-thought-of prospect out of Colorado and fell a bit in the draft due to some personal issues.  However, he’s considered one of the league’s best cover men and will make life tough for Hundley for whomever he’s following (likely Adams).

Overall the Packers are still a 2 point underdog, at home, meaning the boys in the desert think a bad Ravens team is still the better of the two in this matchup.  With Hundley playing his best game to date as a pro against the 2nd best defense he’d seen (Min being the first) this is likely the best overall defense he’ll see until the week 16 matchup v Min down the road.

I’ll continue to pick against them until the Packers have given me enough confidence they can shut down a decent offense v holding down bad QB-play.  Flacco should give the Packers some opportunities for INTs, but without Morgan Burnett (captain and play-caller of the D) and rookie Kevin King, the Packers’ secondary may get caught just enough to lose.

Ravens 23
Packers 21

28-17: hoping I’m wrong again, could also use a little help from the Rams today (they play the Vikings).  You know, if you’re still rooting for the Packers and think they can win a super bowl this year, if 12 comes back.  Again, that’ll be for another day J

Mac’s Mess, still

I think taking as much time to think about the current state of the Green Bay Packers is a great idea, as maddening as it may be.  Again, this all falls squarely on head coach, Mike McCarthy.  This team is getting outcoached in every facet of the game, and they’re still soft.  If anything, an injury to your star player should inject a “nothing to lose” attitude into the remaining 53 players and it’d be great if the Packer came out swinging- not literally, but show some heart.

The Packers now rank 23rd and 25th in total offense and defense, respectively.  The Bears possess a putrid offense (29th) and a solid defense (8th)…with the complacent offense McCarthy has schemed since Rodgers went down expect the Bears to hold the Packers out of the end zone, unless the Packers score on busted play (30+ yards).

Last week Detroit’s offensive coordinator, Jim Bob Cooter, no joke that’s his name, outclassed Dom Capers and stalemated a far superior Packers defensive front and allowed Stafford to carve up the confused secondary.  Look for Kenny Clark (#97) and Dean Lowry (#94) to try to take back command of the line of scrimmage.

The only way the Packers can win this game is to win the turnover battle, by at least 2, and needs the defense to be on the same page, which will be tough without their quarterback, Morgan Burnett.

Packers 13
Bears 24

28-16: sadly I’ve been correct, hopefully that stops…then again, if the Packers continue to lose there’s a chance major change could occur.

I’ve Defended Mac, but this is his mess

This season has fallen squarely on the shoulders of Head Coach Mike McCarthy.  A coach I’ve defended through and through (for the most part), mainly due to him being able to get his quarterbacks to produce at each of his stops throughout the NFL.  The caveat with him being that those quarterbacks haven’t gone on to produce after he left (or the QB leaving), aside from Brett Favre.  Although one could argue #4 was re-motivated.  We’ll save that for an offseason conversation.  Everyone is well aware of Mac’s QB school and with the Packers putting all their (backup QB) chips in with #7, this is 100% on Mac to get his team to win.

There are countless arguments being had regarding the overall talent of this Packers team, but there are 8 players registering a grade of 82.2 or higher on the season (source per ProFootballFocus), which might be the highest amount of players on a roster.  – I haven’t gone through each team, but a handful and the next closest is 5….also that doesn’t include Aaron Rodgers who would make it 9.

Looking at the current situation, the Packers sit at 4-3, 2nd place in the NFC North with Minnesota holding the tiebreaker.  Meaning this game on Monday Night is paramount for both the Lions and Packers.  Boiling down to Mike McCarthy needing to get back to the offense he ran from 2006 – 2010, before Rodgers solidified himself as one of, if not the, best/most-talented QBs in the history of the NFL and completely opening up the spread and relying on concept routes (WRs run routes based off defensive alignment, brilliant until it isn’t).  Green Bay may have found a true running back in Aaron Jones, and with an above average offensive line (if all starters are playing), the Packers have a real opportunity to set Brett Hundley up for success with a proper game plan.

Moving to the Defense.  I believe it was a Bob McGinn or Tom Silverstein article from a few years back stating how Dom Capers’ approach goes against the approach of draft and develop.  Capers needs a veteran defense to understand his complex scheme where the Packers now have speed and talent, however youth, on defense and are still experiencing blown assignments.  I, like many , have been begging for a change at Defensive Coordinator since Colin Kaepernick ran wild in the 2012 Divisional Round playoff route (Jan 2013) because he couldn’t adjust when it seemed the rest of the NFL could and did.  I believe if the Packers switched to just a simple zone scheme concept and played a bunch of man coverage we’d actually find out the talent level of this defense.  Until that happens, we may never know and as long as McCarthy is here it seems as Dom is too.

Detroit Lions – what an enigma they are…they may seem like the poor man’s version of the Green Bay Packers.  All of their flaw may be “covered up” by their Quarterback, Matthew Stafford.  The issue is Stafford isn’t in the same class as Rodgers on a talent-level.  Detroit boasts the 19th rated offense and 22nd defense (yards/game).  The Packers technically are worse, 23rd and 23rd respectively.  Look for this game to come down to QB play as the Packers likely will win the line of scrimmage (as they had in Min and v NO, but still lost—that’s coaching).  With that, Stafford has quite a bit more experience and production than Hundley, and if McCarthy doesn’t allow 7 to play football, look for this game to be quite similar to the Saints game; A messy game between two teams with GB possessing more talent but not get it done.

Go Pack Go!!!

Lions 27
Packers 23

27-16

Does Hope Have a New Spelling?….Hundley?

Obviously there’s only one story-line that stuck out from the Viking game, however since you didn’t come here to read the same things as everything you’ve read and listened to over the past week how about looking at it from a different perspective?

Stop me if you’ve read this before, but Kenny Clark was the best player on the field last Sunday.  That’s including both teams.  I’m not just using ProFootballFocus as a grade, but they thought the same.  I don’t want to get ahead of myself, but there’s a chance he’s a budding superstar registering an 85.1 overall grade from PFF on the season.  Considering he’s the 17th ranked D-lineman that’s a major improvement, not only for him but for the Packers entire defense.  Considering he had an 83.1 grade v Dallas’ offensive line, which is no longer the best in the NFL but is still considered top 5-10, proves he’s a force at the ripe age of 22.

The other point I’d like to focus on is My Man #27 Josh Jones.  He’s been limited in snaps – I haven’t been keeping close track to snap counts and production when on the field v not – however I’d love to see him start and play as much as possible for three major reasons: 1- When he’s on the field the Packers D seems to get off the field or make things happen, and 2- He’s better than Haha Clinton-Dix who seems to always be 5 yards behind (as to not get beat deep) the play.  The INTs HHCD has are a result of terribly overthrown passes, not by actually reading the QB and making a play.  Finally 3- Jones has shown incredible potential and needs snaps to get better.  If he gets burned, who cares? it happens without him on the field anyway.

Now, finally to take on the prime focus point, Aaron Rodgers’ right collarbone.  While playing Dr. is dangerous because there’s assumptions and we all know what that leads to, but for us fans it’s fun, right?  Let’s look at this two ways….1st Rodgers can make it back by the playoffs, so let’s say week 17 (like in 2013 when he returned to beat the Bears on a 4th down to win the division).  Brett Hundley will be tasked with going .500 down that stretch.  I can’t think of a more ideal opponent than the New Orleans Saints.  A bad defense, historically (not worst of all time, but since Sean Payton has arrived) they’re not good and have relied on the arm of Drew Brees and a distinct home-field advantage to create enough opportunities for the Saints to outscore their opponents.  Well if you’re Brett Hundley, this is what you want- a bad defense coming to your home turf.  New Orleans ranks 26th in overall defense and has only played two road games: week 1 @ Min (470 yards); week 3 @ Car (288 yards).  If the Packers can perform like the Vikings did in week 1 then the Packers have a good shot.

The way I see it, which many of my friends know, I’m quite excited to see how #7 produces in his first NFL career start after a week of preparation v the Saints.  I wouldn’t call this a Must Win game for Green Bay, but this could go a long way to proving to, not only the fans, but his team how Hundley can lead this team and if Rodgers can get back by the playoffs and Hundley leads this team to a division title he’d more than have exceeded initial expectations.  Then again, I’d have to write out an elaborate explanation as to why my expectations changed mid-season even though I say there’s no excuses.  At least for now, I’ll save that for the end of the season.  I digress…this will be a tough matchup, but GO PACK GO!

Saints 27
Packers 24

26-16 overall record

Nothing’s Easy…

Apparently the defense still has some issues to work out – sadly I believe (like many) its still Dom Capers’ issue.  There seems to be talent littered all over this roster, defense included, but guys are usually out of position v getting beat.  Like many thought, the Packers’ offense had little issue moving the ball downfield although it took until the 2nd half to execute.

We can revel in the brilliance of the last drive, but it was a prime example of great play-calling, great players having practiced with one another and being on the same page, and just pure execution.  However, if you’ve read along you know I don’t like to review too much so let’s move on.

Enter the Minnesota Vikings.  Like the title of this blog, it should be an easy win, but likely won’t be.  The Vikes are without their top 3 offensive skill starters: Bradford; Diggs; Cook.  That should alleviate the pressure on the defense – so a successful defensive game would be holding Minnesota to <300 yards and <20 points.  If Green Bay struggles then everyone should be looking at red flags.  Please don’t think “Just win the game and move on.”  A super bowl team should be able to run the Vikings out of the gym.

Minnesota does possess a solid defense (7th overall) and Mike Zimmer-led defenses has given Aaron Rodgers-led offenses fits.  I believe they’re even in 8 games (4-4), but this shouldn’t matter because the overall talent is far superior for the Packers.

Packers 27
Vikings 17

26-15: I didn’t update last week’s record, so far things are looking good- so let’s keep it up!