Another Litmus Test

Kansas City is looking to keep pace with Baltimore for the 1-seed in the AFC playoff picture. With a win, they would jump back to the 1-seed via better conference record than Baltimore. Green Bay on the other hand, is the first team out looking in at the playoff picture in the NFC. With a win, the Packers would jump ahead of Seattle (tied with a 6-6 record, but better win % in conference games) and hold the 7th seed (last playoff spot). It’s quite the game for both sides.

Matchup~

 KC off.(rank)vs.GB D.(rank)
Rush106.517th135.227th
Pass258.57th205.19th
Total365.08th340.318th
Pts23.511th 20.4T-10th
 KC D.GB off. 
Rush113.419th 102.7T-21st
Pass176.64th222.116th
Total16.53rd324.818th
Pts20.210th 21.017th
  
T/OKC  GB 
Takeaways14T-20th12T-26th
Giveaways19T-23rd12T-6th
Diff.(5)T-23rd 016th
  
ToPKC  GB 
 31:2510th 28:3825th

These teams are fairly evenly matched when Kansas City has the ball, evidenced by the ranks of each…however, the Chiefs may be able to gouge the Packers in the run game with Isiah Pacheco, a hard, vicious, runner. It’ll be interesting to see if the Packers can keep Mahomes in check as they did in their last meeting, holding the Chiefs to just 13 points at Aarowhead in Jordan Love’s first career start.

This will be a good test for the Chiefs as well, as a foreign team coming into Lambeau for a night game is about as tough an environment as there is. Kansas City is the better team, they’re on the cusp of a dynasty, and if they earn the 1-seed, they’d be on track to host a 6th consecutive Conference Championship game.

The One Matchup That Will Dictate the Outcome

Packers C Josh Myers.

He’s been better as of late, but he’s had some awful “blocks” over the course of the season. It should come as no surprise that the improvement of his play has coincided with Jordan Love’s ascension and the team’s too. Myers will be tasked with blocking, arguably, the best defensive lineman in football; Chris Jones. He can wreck a game against good offensive lines, which Green Bay typically has…

Chiefs DT Chris Jones.

In the aforementioned game, Jones was held to 2 tackles and 2 QB hits. That’s pretty good. Green Bay typically does a good job nullifying great defensive linemen…typically. This year they’ve neutralized Aiden Hutchinson (previous game on Thanksgiving) and Aaron Donald (Rams game), but struggled mightily against Hutchinson in Week 4’s matchup and had a real problem with Las Vegas Raiders’ DE Maxx Crosby.

Prediction

Considering I missed last week’s prediction, happily by the way, that seemed to workout…so let’s try it again.

Chiefs 31
Packers 28 (+7)

Season: 4-7
Overall: 91-59

*If Green Bay pulls off the upset, this could be a trajectory game (again), to something much bigger and brighter.*