Regressing Forward

Packers’ CB Jaire Alexander (#23).

Where to start? Joe Barry’s defense allowed 394 yards, 298 (76%) of which came through the air. Carolina was averaging 165 yards passing/game (31st, aka 2nd to last) entering the game and only 14.7 points/game. The Panthers had no issue surpassing either of those outputs. Green Bay was able to make rookie Bryce Young look just like that, initially. They brought pressure and he missed some wide open targets – couple that with some early scoring drives and the Packers were able to play from out front the entire game.

That’s a stat line you’d see from Steven Young in his prime vs a below average defense…a 110.0 QB rating is phenomenal – that’s a problem.

The Good News?

  1. Green Bay didn’t allow 100 yards rushing and gave up less than 4 yards/carry (3.8).
  2. Jordan Love was great, yet again. He accounted for 3 TDs and posted a passer rating almost as good as future HOFer Bryce Young, with a 109.1.

Jaire???

Jaire Alexander (#23, third from the Left) was not elected a Captain, however chose to walk out for the coin toss.

What’s taking over the news in Packer country is Jaire Alexander, and not for the reasons we want. Jaire, from Mint Hill, NC (just outside of Charlotte), wanted to be a captain for the game against his hometown team. However, he went against protocol and almost cost the Packers a possession. There are many opinions as to this whole situation, Jaire, and LaFleur. However, this has been brewing for some time and this wreaks of LaFleur trying to make up for missed opportunities to establish authority. The players seem to be backing Jaire, and there seems to be brewing a shit storm that could’ve been avoided by firing Joe Barry, even as late as a week ago. Now there’s been a festering of negativity and things seem to be coming to a head.

Another positive thing…Jordan Love, again. The kid is handling himself about as perfect as one could ask. Again, my only (major) issue with Rodgers was the fans’ perception of him being far better than he actually was – but Love is fitting into his career track-line eerily similarly. With all of these distractions (Barry, Jaire), Love is moving forward and producing with less and less weapons week in and week out.

LaFleur, Time to Go?

While I’ve been a fan of Matt LaFleur since his hiring, I’m not certain he’s the best Head Coach for the team. I’d still like to give him through the end of next season, but there seems to be one major issue that no one disagrees on, firing Joe Barry immediately.

The latest of what seems to be losing the locker room – which not firing Barry could be the catalyst for – is grounds for termination. Once a Head Coach loses the locker room, it’s impossible to gain it back…

If This Isn’t a Win…

Packers Head Coach, Matt LaFleur (left) and Defensive Coordinator, Joe Barry.

That’s OK, because this year was about 1 thing…(say it with me), getting the kids reps. Also, validated that Jordan Love is the QB moving forward.

Current Status

Carolina~ they currently hold the No. 1 overall pick, slot. That pick is held by Chicago in their disastrous trade to pick Bryce Young. Chicago currently holds the #1 overall pick, and if Green Bay wins, they’ll at least have a game lead in that department over 3-11 New England.

Green Bay~ sitting as the “11th seed,” the Packers need to win out, giving them a likely playoff berth. They hold tiebreakers over the Los Angeles Rams and New Orleans Saints due to their head-to-head matchups, however should there become a multiple-team tie, they may be on the outside looking in due to their losses to the Falcons, Giants, and Buccaneers…

Must-Win

As stated above, the Packers need to win their remaining games and will likely make the playoffs at 9-8. Green Bay would benefit from Minnesota losing one additional game – not counting the New Year’s Eve vs. Green Bay – and the Rams dropping one of their final three. If Green Bay ends up with the same record as the Rams, they’d be in over them, unless there’s a multi-way tie and it gets to a deeper tiebreaker than head-to-head matchup…

Barry Will Keep His Job…For Now

My guess is Matt LaFleur is loyal to his word, and will keep his Defensive Coordinator on through his contract, which allegedly ends after this season, and will re-evaluate. Joe Barry could have a good finish in these last three games, and if they make the playoffs, may even have a solid showing in the Wild Card game – which may keep his job…I wrote about this last season, about how Barry’s defenses seem to come up in the clutch, but the QB play always let the team down. Still, I wouldn’t mind a new Coordinator, someone not scared to play man coverage and bring pressure.

Matchup

Yet another offense that’s atrocious. The last couple that Green Bay has faced (New York Giants & Tampa Bay Buccaneers) have been just as bad, and each had little to no issue dicing through Barry’s squad to either win on a last second field goal or just flat out dominate the game. Either way, the Packers need to do to Carolina what all other opponents have done, shut them down. Bryce Young has struggled, immensely, all season and the Packers have the talent to make his life hell on Sunday.

Also, the Panthers actually have a solid defense. They’re 29th in overall scoring defense, and that may be due to the offense going 3 & out leaving the opposition a shorter field to score, hence not giving up many yards, but still almost 25 points/game.

Zach Kruse on Twitter, had a pretty good take (at least I like it as it’s right up my alley)…he laid out the ways that Green Bay can get to victory over the worst team in the NFL.

To get in the Christmas spirit, here’s a great take on “Let It Go” from the Crispy Brothers.

Players to Watch

#95 DT Derrick Brown- a force in the middle of the defensive line.
#0 LB Brian Burns- a super athletic linebacker that can do it all.

I could also list every player that could rush the ball, but that would list the entire offense…when facing Joe Barry’s unit, anyone could go off. However, if Green Bay is able to stabilize these two top defenders, they should have a solid chance at winning.

Prediction

Packers 20
Panthers 24 (+4.5)

Season: 4-10
Overall: 91-62

Buc’d

Packers’ Defensive Coordinator, Joe Barry.

I’m one of the last to call for people’s jobs as I believe patience is one of the least-used attributes in sports. However, it’s clear to everyone (for varying reasons) that it’s time to move on from Defensive Coordinator, Joe Barry. Even the hack writer, Ryan Wood, isn’t defending his guy any longer. The premise of not getting beat by the “explosive pass” is great, until you’re killed by giving up easy 6-yard chunks for an entire 120 minutes against two of the worst offenses in the entire NFL.

Entering the Giants game, New York was ranked last in total offense (258.7 yards/game) and 2nd-to-last in points per game (13.3 points/game). Green Bay surrendered 367 yards and 24 points against the Giants. Following that abysmal performance, the Packers allowed 452 yards and 34 points to the 23rd ranked (in yards) offense and 22nd ranked (20.2 points/game) scoring offense. An above-average defense would’ve allowed less in each category to each team. However, the Packers forced one punt against the Baker Mayfield-led Buccaneers — in the 2nd half alone, Tampa Bay had 4 drives resulting in 3 touchdowns and running out the final 4:18…

Positives?

Packers’ Wide Receiver, Jayden Reed (#11), celebrates a first down reception.

Jordan Love and Jayden Reed flashed again…as well as Tight End Tucker Kraft (#85). Love was able to connect with Reed on a broken play resulting in a touchdown that was incredible – another WOW moment.

That’s really about it. Sitting in a soft zone, even Head Coach, Matt LaFleur, acknowledges that it’s easy to pick apart…yet doesn’t fire the guy that keeps calling this defense. I understand there are injuries and backups playing, however that doesn’t excuse every single player being wide open. If you play straight man coverage, the only way for the receiver to get open is for him to beat his man. I’d much rather have that as it would require a somewhat accurate throw or the pass rush might get to the QB, at least in time to affect the pass if not resulting in a sack.

Now What?

LaFleur made it clear that he doesn’t intend to move on from Joe Barry, at least not during the season. The Packers are still in the playoff hunt, but will need some help along the way – all assuming they finish the season 3-0. The #1 overall pick, QB Bryce Young, hasn’t thrown a TD since November 19th in their game against the Dallas Cowboys in Week 11. Can’t wait for Joe Barry’s defense to surrender a 150 yards on the ground and 2+ TD passes to the rookie that’s struggled ALL season…

Giant Issue

QB Tommy DeVito (#15) and HB Saquon Barkley (#26) combined to rush for 157 yards on 30 carries (5.2 yards/rush).

The Packers have given up 200+ rush yards in four separate games this season. That’s absolutely atrocious. Any team preparing to play Green Bay should just focus on pounding the rock for 60 minutes. Then, if close, towards the end of the game, the corners will play 12+ yards off the line of scrimmage.

The above graphic will make any defensive-minded person puke. It should come as no surprise the Packers are 0-4 in such games. If Green Bay would’ve been bailed out (twice) with a missed field goal at the end on Monday Night, it shouldn’t have sat well with anyone knowing that the Giants had no issue marching up and down the field with the worst offensive line in the NFL quarterbacked by a practice squad local…embarrassing isn’t strong enough of a word.

Special Teams are…Special

Just a couple of more penalties on special teams, paired with Nixon’s butterball routine…the Packers have the highest paid special teams coach in the entire NFL, yet nothing has improved. Hell, it may have (somehow) worsened. In the linked article, it states “To finally put an end to those annual embarrassments, LaFleur made Bisaccia the league’s highest-paid special teams coordinator, with a reported annual salary of over $2 million per year.

So far, it appears to be money well spent.”

Whether that says more about The Athletic (the publisher) or LaFleur’s choice in hiring coordinators (Joe Barry refuses to stop the run and play press man coverage on 3rd downs, unless it’s against Patrick Mahomes).

Was there any Good News?

The Packers won the time of possession. The best item about the game…Love, as we’ve seen all season, “keeps comin’.” The kid just continues to play, doesn’t ever seem to give up – that’s the 2nd best attribute a QB can have (behind clutch). After Saquon kicked the door back open by fumbling deep in Packer territory, up 5, with 4:01 left in the 4th, Love and the Packers were able to capitalize on the opportunity and score a TD. Leaving too much time for the Giants facing a Defense coordinated by Joe Barry to kick a game-winning field goal as time expired.