You’re Gonna Go Far, Kid(s)

If you haven’t noticed, yet. The titles of these posts are from The Offspring…figured that was fitting.

Green Bay hasn’t won in 4 weeks. It’s also seemed that long. For the billionth time, the Packers are going through a Youth Movement, which is the best kind of “rebuild” a team can take. It’s the best method to set an organization up for long-term success. Meaning, this team is going to surprise you in every manner possible. They’re going to look bad in departments (i.e. offense vs. bad D, etc.) all season long. Green Bay may look awful on offense vs. the NFL’s worst defense (Denver) this week, but could also beat Kansas City and shut down Patty Mahomes, so who knows…which is the fun part.

How bad is Denver? They’re bad, almost Chicago bad (they were losing to Chicago 28-7 with 15:14 left in the game, before coming back and beating the Bears).

 GB O(rank)vs.Den D(rank)
Rush81.627th172.332nd
Pass200.021st268.030th
Total281.628th440.332nd
Pts22.613th 33.332nd
 GB DDen O
Rush143.428th 106.019th
Pass194.49th200.320th
Total337.817th306.321st
Pts22.622nd 21.517th
 
T/OGB  Den 
Takeaways5T-22nd6T-20th
Giveaways6T-7th11T-27th
Diff.(1)T-17th (5)26th

These are well-below average teams matching up on Sunday. Here’s the warning I’ll issue, which fans won’t take in, because they’re fans — the Broncos have the worst defense in the NFL and the Packers have an opportunity to “get things righted,” however, the issues with youth is youth doesn’t care about the opponent, they just are what they are. Could Green Bay struggle to run the ball against the worst run defense in the league? Yes. Could they struggle to get on track in the passing game against the 3rd-worst pass defense team in the league? Also yes.

Keep in mind, we’re entering game 6 of 34 (17.6%) in the youth movement, or rebuild if you’d like (but they are different). We are far from knowing what this roster is capable of and even what Jordan Love truly is, however he’s shown signs of being able to do the hardest things (coming back from down 17-0 in the 4th quarter against a good Defense should be enough evidence for everyone to give Love enough leash for 2 full seasons).

The Packers’ pass D might be a bit of a mirage too as teams have had the lead over Green Bay a lot and run the ball, which is also their weakness. Get teams into passing situations, that’s where Green Bay can get off the field and generate turnovers.

I’d like to see the Packers get their season turnover margin back into the black, and improve the time of possession rank (sitting at 29th averaging only 27:01/game). Denver is worse, ranking 31st in that department.

Here are jsonline’s predictions…

Packers 27 (-1.0)
Broncos 21

Season: 2-3
Overall: 89-55

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